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Prediction markets
8 active markets
· category “Big Tech”
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Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?
1525
99%
Yes
No
1550
48%
Yes
No
$9.6K
Vol.
Dec 31
big-tech
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
37 trading now
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
4%
chance
Yes
No
$17K
Vol.
Dec 31
big-tech
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
44 trading now
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?
7%
chance
Yes
No
$4.7K
Vol.
Dec 31
big-tech
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
38 trading now
3rd richest person on December 31?
Larry Page
14%
Larry Ellison
8%
35 more
$24K
Vol.
Dec 31
big-tech
Potential payout
$25
→
$177
39 trading now
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
82%
Up
Up
Down
$26K
Vol.
Feb 28
big-tech
Potential payout
$25
→
$31
41 trading now
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
22%
chance
Yes
No
$292K
Vol.
Dec 31
big-tech
Potential payout
$25
→
$116
55 trading now
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?
10%
chance
Yes
No
$32K
Vol.
Dec 31
big-tech
Potential payout
$25
→
$263
53 trading now
Peter Thiel moves to Argentina by December 31?
50%
chance
Yes
No
$0.00
Vol.
Dec 31
big-tech
Potential payout
$25
→
$50
18 trading now
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