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Prediction markets
17 active markets
· category “Iran”
By volume
Closing soon
Newest
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
December 31
73%
June 30
55%
5 more
$86.5M
Vol.
iran
Israel closes its airspace by...?
3%
chance
Yes
No
$355K
Vol.
iran
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
5%
chance
Yes
No
$37.9M
Vol.
iran
What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?
Unfreeze Iranian Assets
36%
Oil Sanction Relief
34%
2 more
$288K
Vol.
iran
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
3%
chance
Yes
No
$1.07M
Vol.
iran
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
16%
chance
Yes
No
$345K
Vol.
iran
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
10%
chance
Yes
No
$736K
Vol.
iran
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 4?
<25
50%
25-49
42%
3 more
$62K
Vol.
iran
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
92%
chance
Yes
No
$76K
Vol.
iran
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
46%
chance
Yes
No
$576K
Vol.
iran
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?
10-20
32%
60+
23%
3 more
$18K
Vol.
iran
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?
June 30
48%
May 31
27%
1 more
$56K
Vol.
iran
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
8%
chance
Yes
No
$1.16M
Vol.
iran
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?
4%
chance
Yes
No
$16K
Vol.
iran
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?
5%
chance
Yes
No
$2.2K
Vol.
iran
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
43%
chance
Yes
No
$29K
Vol.
iran
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?
28%
chance
Yes
No
$15K
Vol.
iran
