Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
December 31 10.5%
January 31 1%
March 31 1%
December 31, 2025 1%
No price history yet.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
- Resolver: official source.
- Deadline: closing date in UTC.
- Disputed outcomes: handled by moderators within 48 hours.
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