Gemini 3.2 released on...?

May 10
$2.9K Volume

May 17
$2.8K Volume

May 16
$2.8K Volume

May 9
$2.8K Volume

May 31
$2.8K Volume

May 24
$2.6K Volume

May 23
$2.6K Volume

On or prior to May 6
$1.4K Volume

May 19
$1.2K Volume

May 20
$856.58 Volume

May 21
$790.93 Volume

May 7
$783.74 Volume

May 22
$771.12 Volume

May 18
$751.73 Volume

No release by May 31
$672.91 Volume

May 29
$611.35 Volume

May 13
$603.85 Volume

May 26
$600.84 Volume

May 25
$595.62 Volume

May 27
$585.87 Volume

May 28
$585.84 Volume

May 12
$567.22 Volume

May 11
$554.11 Volume

May 14
$525.68 Volume

May 15
$524.13 Volume

May 8
$499.36 Volume
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public. Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market). Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
- Resolver: official source.
- Deadline: closing date in UTC.
- Disputed outcomes: handled by moderators within 48 hours.
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