French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

Jordan Bardella
$689.86 Volume

François Bayrou
$463.14 Volume

Gabriel Attal
$372.96 Volume

François Hollande
$108.08 Volume

Michel Barnier
$84.54 Volume

Mathilde Panot
$84.05 Volume

Élisabeth Borne
$81.11 Volume

Carole Delga
$80.85 Volume

Gérald Darmanin
$73.68 Volume

Raphaël Glucksmann
$70.17 Volume

Manuel Bompard
$62.82 Volume

Yaël Braun-Pivet
$57.06 Volume

Sébastien Lecornu
$55.00 Volume

Olivier Faure
$49.50 Volume

Marine Le Pen
$49.17 Volume

Jean Castex
$46.28 Volume

Bernard Cazeneuve
$40.79 Volume

Éric Zemmour
$23.19 Volume

Dominique de Villepin
$13.85 Volume

Valérie Pécresse
$11.33 Volume
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
- Resolver: official source.
- Deadline: closing date in UTC.
- Disputed outcomes: handled by moderators within 48 hours.
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